RSD Alcalá vs Atlético B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MEX
2 - 3
ALC
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
27%
27%
46%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CVI
1 - 2
ALC
8%
20%
73%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
SSR
26%
29%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ADA
2 - 2
ALC
49%
27%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATB
1 - 1
VAL
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PNT
1 - 1
ATB
16%
22%
61%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 2
NAV
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 0
ATB
11%
19%
71%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 0
PBO
75%
17%
8%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |