RSD Alcalá vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 0
POZ
28%
29%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALC
42%
28%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 0
ALC
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDM
37%
28%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
4 - 2
SIE
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 1
STA
52%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 1
GET
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |