RSD Alcalá vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
24.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
LEV
2 - 0
ALC
71%
20%
9%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 1
BET
54%
27%
19%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
BAL
2 - 1
ALC
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ALC
1 - 1
GRA
32%
32%
36%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ADP
1 - 0
ALC
66%
22%
12%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
AGD
3 - 3
CCF
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
AGD
1 - 2
REC
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AGD
2 - 1
TAL
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
REC
3 - 0
AGD
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |