CD Alcalá vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALC
40%
26%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ECI
1 - 0
ALC
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDG
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
COR
0 - 2
ALC
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
3 - 4
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
ARC
48%
24%
29%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
5 - 0
UTR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |