CD Alcalá vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
AGD
0 - 0
ALC
48%
29%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CDL
0 - 0
ALC
50%
29%
22%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ALC
2 - 2
CCF
22%
29%
49%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALC
58%
25%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAR
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
UBC
2 - 0
CDL
34%
30%
36%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CCF
2 - 0
UBC
70%
19%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
UBC
0 - 2
SEV
36%
30%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
UBC
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
UBC
0 - 0
CAR
41%
30%
29%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |