CD Alcalá vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
XER
3 - 0
ALC
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDG
37%
25%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LEB
3 - 0
ALC
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 2
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
ALC
69%
19%
13%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CDG
0 - 0
SRQ
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SRQ
2 - 4
BAR
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 2
SRQ
33%
24%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SRQ
0 - 1
ARC
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SEV
4 - 0
SRQ
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |