CD Alcalá vs Atlético Onubense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ALC
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAD
63%
21%
15%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CON
3 - 3
ALC
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
3 - 1
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Onubense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRD
2 - 1
REC
48%
25%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
REC
1 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 2
REC
48%
24%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
REC
3 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
REC
70%
19%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |