CD Alcalá vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.3%
67.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
19%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
MEL
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 0
ALC
61%
25%
14%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 3
CAD
9%
20%
71%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 3
UES
20%
24%
57%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ROQ
4 - 2
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MUR
2 - 0
RJA
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
UES
0 - 1
MUR
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MUR
0 - 0
ROQ
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
OVI
2 - 2
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |