CD Alcalá vs PD Rociera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
3 - 1
SRO
33%
25%
42%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CDG
2 - 0
ALC
59%
23%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 3
UDT
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAB
2 - 0
ALC
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 1
CDG
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UDT
1 - 2
ROC
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 3
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CCF
0 - 1
ROC
49%
25%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
LCF
0 - 1
ROC
29%
26%
45%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |