CD Alcalá vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
SAN
16%
23%
62%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
SEV
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
ALC
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 6
CIS
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 2
SAN
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 1
LUC
11%
20%
69%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
SEV
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |