CD Alcalá vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 3
ALC
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
RJA
30%
29%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
ALC
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BAZ
2 - 1
ALC
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 1
MER
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 0
MER
23%
28%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
2 - 0
LUC
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAR
27%
30%
43%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 2
LUC
58%
25%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 2
ECI
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |