CD Alcalá vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LUC
5 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
ECI
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 1
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
0 - 1
AGD
22%
27%
51%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
POL
0 - 0
ALC
73%
19%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
RJA
35%
28%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAD
1 - 2
LOR
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 1
ROQ
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SEV
4 - 1
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 0
PUE
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |