CD Alcalá vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 2
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
SEV
22%
29%
50%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
MEL
25%
27%
48%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CDL
1 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
LOR
22%
28%
50%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
JER
2 - 0
CDL
40%
31%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
JER
0 - 0
ALG
32%
31%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 2
JER
35%
31%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
JER
1 - 1
CDZ
46%
29%
25%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |