CD Alcalá vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 0
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAI
4 - 0
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 2
UTR
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
ALC
31%
24%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
OSU
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 0
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
EST
1 - 3
BET
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 2
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
UDR
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |