CD Alcalá vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
DHM
1 - 1
ALC
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
3 - 2
TOR
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARH
1 - 2
ALC
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
ROC
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 2
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EST
3 - 4
ADS
58%
22%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
VEN
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DHM
2 - 0
EST
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
TOR
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARH
0 - 3
EST
75%
15%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |