CD Alcalá vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BET
1 - 2
ALC
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
YEC
2 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALM
37%
29%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 0
ALC
83%
13%
4%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
RJA
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 0
POL
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
POL
0 - 3
ROQ
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SEV
5 - 1
POL
44%
27%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
POL
2 - 2
PUE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |