CD Alcalá vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
JER
22%
26%
53%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 2
ALC
75%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
SEV
22%
29%
50%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
MEL
25%
27%
48%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
CDL
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
DBN
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
DBN
0 - 0
ALG
35%
30%
35%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 1
DBN
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
CDZ
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |