CD Alcalá vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 2
CDG
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LAP
2 - 1
ALC
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UDT
4 - 1
ALC
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 0
VIS
34%
25%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SRO
4 - 2
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 0
ADS
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 3
CAS
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAB
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAS
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |