CD Alcalá vs Los Barrios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
REC
0 - 2
ALC
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAB
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 3
ASJ
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 2
ALC
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Los Barrios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 1
LEB
24%
24%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
4 - 0
REC
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 4
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASJ
3 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |