CD Alcalá vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ICR
1 - 1
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CCF
2 - 1
ALC
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
ARC
60%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 2
ALC
39%
26%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
6 - 4
ADS
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
ARO
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 0
ARO
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
1 - 0
ESP
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARO
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 3
REC
29%
24%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |