CD Alcalá vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TOM
0 - 0
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
3 - 0
QRE
48%
24%
29%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 4
RJA
15%
23%
62%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
QRE
1 - 1
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ECI
2 - 3
ALC
78%
16%
7%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ARE
2 - 1
CDL
27%
28%
44%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 4
ARE
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 1
ALG
29%
30%
41%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARE
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ARE
0 - 0
ROC
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |