Alcains vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 0
BEN
12%
18%
70%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FAT
3 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
ANA
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 4
OLI
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
ALC
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
OLI
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
RDA
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GDF
0 - 1
VIT
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 3
BMA
9%
19%
72%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAT
1 - 2
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |