Alcains vs Vilafranquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
75.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALC
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 4
SIN
7%
14%
79%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
8%
19%
73%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 0
IRI
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UFT
0 - 3
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
VIL
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOU
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |