Alcains vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
FAT
3 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
ANA
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 4
OLI
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
ALC
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ALC
3 - 0
BEN
10%
22%
68%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | +8 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 2
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 0
USA
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANA
2 - 1
BEN
47%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
GDF
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |