Alcains vs Sintrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
71.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
14º
14º
38
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
ALC
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 2
BEN
17%
22%
62%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UDR
0 - 2
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 1
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
1DE
2 - 1
ALC
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SIN
1 - 0
LOU
65%
22%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
SIN
28%
28%
44%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 0
COR
73%
18%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
5 - 0
SAB
76%
14%
9%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SIN
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |