Alcains vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 3
ALC
52%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 2
OLE
10%
17%
73%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALC
85%
12%
3%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
TOR
10%
18%
72%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 1
ALC
90%
8%
3%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAT
15%
22%
64%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ADN
0 - 1
PEN
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |