Alcains vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
UDL
3 - 1
ALC
81%
14%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
CON
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
OLE
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLE
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 4
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |