Alcains vs Mação analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OLE
3 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
7%
18%
76%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALC
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 4
SIN
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
ALC
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
BEN
7%
15%
79%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 0
PEN
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
OLE
4 - 0
MAC
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 4
TOR
7%
15%
78%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 1
MAC
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |