Alcains vs Carapinheirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 3
OLI
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALC
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALC
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
OLE
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
VIT
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
56%
21%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |