Alcains vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
OLE
3 - 0
ALC
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
7%
18%
76%
|
17 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALC
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADN
3 - 0
IRI
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
ADN
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
FAT
25%
26%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 0
ADN
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ADN
0 - 1
LOU
39%
27%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |