League Cup Last 16
Global 3-2
Albirex Niigata vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 3
ALB
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
AVI
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 2
ALB
18%
23%
58%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHO
2 - 1
ALB
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
FCY
27%
24%
50%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MIT
2 - 3
VVA
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VVA
1 - 0
JEF
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VVA
1 - 0
URA
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 3
VVA
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VVA
0 - 0
FAG
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |