Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 1
ALB
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
KAA
2 - 2
ALB
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ALB
1 - 3
FCY
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
KAR
1 - 2
ALB
15%
24%
61%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ALB
0 - 0
VIS
81%
13%
5%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TOK
0 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
38%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 1
TOK
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
TOK
2 - 2
GAM
39%
25%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
FCT
3 - 2
TOK
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
TOK
0 - 1
KAR
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |