Albirex Niigata vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 0
MIT
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 2
ALB
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 0
RYK
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
OIT
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRU
0 - 2
ALB
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
OMI
3 - 1
TOC
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
OMI
2 - 2
OIT
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
0 - 3
OMI
68%
21%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ROA
1 - 0
OMI
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OMI
0 - 2
MAC
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |