Albirex Niigata vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ALB
2 - 3
FCT
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
OMI
2 - 0
ALB
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 2
OIT
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FCY
1 - 0
ALB
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
YOK
0 - 2
ALB
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
KYO
2 - 1
OMI
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
OMI
2 - 0
ALB
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
OMI
1 - 1
KAW
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FCT
1 - 2
OMI
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 0
OMI
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |