Albirex Niigata vs Oita Trinita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
FCT
4 - 0
ALB
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ALB
1 - 2
CER
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
FCY
1 - 2
ALB
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ALB
4 - 2
FCT
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ALB
2 - 3
SHO
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Oita Trinita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
OIT
1 - 2
TOK
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CON
1 - 0
OIT
55%
22%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
OIT
2 - 2
KAR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
OIT
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
OIT
0 - 3
KAA
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |