Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VEN
3 - 0
ALB
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 2
GAM
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
MAT
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
KAR
4 - 0
ALB
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
AVI
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 0
MON
79%
15%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FCY
1 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
NAG
1 - 0
GIR
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 1
CER
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OMI
2 - 3
NAG
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |