Albirex Niigata vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
KAA
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SHI
3 - 1
ALB
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
VEN
0 - 0
ALB
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 1
VEN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
KAR
0 - 0
ALB
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2007 |
NAG
1 - 2
URA
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
FCY
0 - 2
NAG
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
NAG
1 - 4
KAA
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
JUB
1 - 0
NAG
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2007 |
NAG
1 - 2
OIT
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |