Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
CER
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FCY
1 - 0
ALB
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 1
VEG
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
NAG
4 - 0
ALB
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
FCY
25%
30%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
MON
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
VIS
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
SHI
2 - 1
MON
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
KAA
17%
26%
57%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |