Albirex Niigata vs Matsumoto Yamaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 0
ALB
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 1
GAM
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 0
ALB
38%
27%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
KAW
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -3 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 2
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
SHI
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 0
MAT
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 2
MON
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
GAM
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SHO
1 - 1
MAT
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |