League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
MAC
42%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 1
ALB
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 0
KYO
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
JUB
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CER
1 - 2
ALB
54%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 2
URA
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
MAC
42%
25%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 0
JUB
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
SHO
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CER
0 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |