Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 0
THE
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
VIS
1 - 1
ALB
23%
24%
54%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 0
FCY
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 1
TOK
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
KAW
3 - 0
ALB
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kashiwa Reysol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
KAR
2 - 2
VIS
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
KAR
1 - 2
OMI
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
KAW
3 - 1
KAR
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
URA
7 - 0
KAR
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
KAR
1 - 0
VIS
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |