Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
KAW
1 - 0
ALB
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 1
FCT
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
URA
1 - 0
ALB
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
OMI
0 - 0
ALB
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 1
URA
37%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
SAG
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 0
CER
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CER
2 - 2
FCY
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
CER
1 - 2
KAW
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
URA
1 - 0
CER
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |