Albirex Niigata vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
FCY
1 - 2
ALB
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
ALB
4 - 2
FCT
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
ALB
2 - 3
SHO
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
ALB
1 - 3
KAR
82%
14%
5%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
GAM
6 - 3
ALB
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
CER
2 - 1
SHI
48%
24%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
TOK
1 - 1
CER
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
THE
60%
20%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
JUB
2 - 2
CER
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
CER
0 - 2
URA
24%
24%
53%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |