Albirex Niigata S vs Balestier Khalsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
8º
3º
23
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 73 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 71 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
63% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 48 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 46 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 38 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 29 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
1% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albirex Niigata S
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
TAN
2 - 1
ALB
9%
15%
76%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 6
GEY
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LCS
7 - 1
ALB
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CYL
3 - 2
ALB
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 4
DPM
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Balestier Khalsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
LCS
13%
17%
70%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 2
DPM
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 2
CYL
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
HOU
3 - 3
BAL
45%
22%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
TAM
21%
21%
59%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |