Albion Rovers vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
10º
10º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STI
1 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 2
BLA
26%
25%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 2
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 3
CFC
28%
22%
50%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
STE
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KHE
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 0
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
ELG
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |