Albion Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albion Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
AIR
1 - 1
ALB
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
2 - 3
DUM
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
AIR
3 - 2
ALB
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
1 - 1
EDA
64%
18%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
EDI
3 - 0
ALB
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
AYR
34%
23%
43%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
AYR
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALL
0 - 2
AYR
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |