Albion Rovers vs Ayr United analysis

Albion Rovers Ayr United
40 ELO 61
1.9% Tilt 8.9%
5121º General ELO ranking 1928º
56º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
11.7%
Albion Rovers
17.1%
Draw
71.2%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
71.2%
Win probability
Ayr United
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Albion Rovers
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2018
STE
Stenhousemuir
4 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
61%
21%
19%
42 48 6 0
28 Apr. 2018
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
76%
15%
9%
42 60 18 0
21 Apr. 2018
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 0
East Fife
EAS
34%
26%
40%
41 47 6 +1
14 Apr. 2018
AIR
Airdrieonians
2 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
62%
20%
18%
42 48 6 -1
07 Apr. 2018
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
44%
24%
32%
43 45 2 -1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 2018
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
60%
21%
19%
60 55 5 0
30 Jun. 2018
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
18%
20%
63%
60 46 14 0
28 Apr. 2018
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
76%
15%
9%
60 42 18 0
22 Apr. 2018
ALL
Alloa Athletic
2 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
29%
25%
46%
61 54 7 -1
14 Apr. 2018
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 2
Stranraer
STR
77%
16%
8%
62 48 14 -1
X