Albion FC vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
12º
6º
20
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 49 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 48 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 42 |
4º
|
48% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 37 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 34 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 30 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 25 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albion FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 0
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 0
ALB
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UMO
0 - 1
ALB
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 0
SUD
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
LUZ
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 1
LUZ
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
ALB
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 0
LUZ
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |