Albi vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FCM
3 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
BAY
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BEZ
0 - 0
ALB
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 2
MON
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 3
ALB
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
42%
29%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAE
1 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |