Alberic vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+121%
+79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 1
ALB
63%
21%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 1
PEG
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALG
4 - 1
ALB
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
UEM
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 0
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 0
UEM
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 2
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 2
CTS
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
PRO
29%
25%
46%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |